March 3, 2013 |
The foreclosure crisis in America has had many unexpected twists.
But none may be as striking as the latest development: real estate
speculators, with billions in ready cash, are swooping into hard-hit
locales and buying foreclosed and low-end homes with the same vehemence
that created the housing market bubble.
They’re hoping to rent
these properties to ex-owners or others, but they’re creating
distortions that truly worry housing advocates. Banks are flocking to
cash buyers, not to people with loans. First-time buyers can’t get in.
Rents are skyrocketing. Home values and prices are going up.
If Maria Benjamin had her way, the For Rent sign hanging from a post on the small front lawn of the bungalow at
22 Chanslor Ave. would not be there. Nor would similar signs on other lawns across
Richmond or a string of other working-class
cities on the industrial northern end of San Francisco Bay.
Benjamin is program director at the
Community Housing Development Corporation of North Richmond, which relies on a
portfolio
of government housing programs, some with roots dating back to the New
Deal, to assist first-time home buyers. Her mission, as has been the
case for housing activists for decades, is built on the belief that
owning a home helps to stabilize individuals, families and communities.
But
in a turn that affordable housing advocates like Benjamin could not
imagine just two years ago, starter homes like the two-bedroom,
one-bathroom, 939-square-foot
bungalow
at 22 Chanslor, keep being snatched from her clients’ hands. Homes that
were abandoned or boarded up as the housing bubble burst are now hot
properties, but not for the kind of buyer Benjamin seeks.
“We
have people who have been making offers for a year or more, continuously
being turned down,” she said. “They’re being outbid by investors.”
“Waypoint is a giant player,” said Benjamin, referring to a
company that started in the Bay Area in 2008 and
expects to raise $1 billion from Silicon Valley venture capitalists this year as part of an ambitious plan to buy
10,000
homes across America’s foreclosure belts. “But it is not only
Waypoint,” she said. “They’re buying up and targeting low-income
neighborhoods… They’re targeting cities that don’t have strong rent
controls.”
Benjamin is upset that working people who have
played by the rules—saving money, holding jobs, filling out piles of
paperwork to get low-interest federal loans—or tried to restructure debt
to keep their homes—are being steamrolled. She says there’s no
precedent for corporate takeover of low-end homes on the scale that’s
unfolding, a concern voiced by others, including
realtors in Southern California where outlier counties are seeing a third or more of foreclosed homes bought with cash.
“It’s
been going on for about 20 months,” Benjamin said. “In the beginning,
the investors were on the courthouse steps buying these properties, but
they weren’t organized. They were smaller investors. Now there are
investment pools that are coming together. So they are more organized
and more strategic. Our folks don’t stand a chance.”
Another Set of Rules
Waypoint, however, tells another story. It sees itself as something of a capitalist
white knight,
riding into blighted communities and doing what few private investors
have done as the foreclosure crisis spread like a wildfire and left
shuttered homes, or buildings with Occupiers who refused to leave as
banks and lenders refused to restructure their debt.
There’s an
old saying in real estate that you make money when you buy, not when
you sell. Waypoint’s investors—like other big investment pools with
similar plans—see low-end homes as a giant untapped equity play.
Property values in this market
dropped
by a half or two-thirds in value in cities such as Richmond as the real
estate crash bottomed out. Pheonix, Las Vegas, Tampa and other
foreclosure centers all had similar price collapses. The sector was
poised to rise in value at margins exceeding most stocks and bonds, if
home values even recovered a fraction of their former peak.
Investors
with hundreds of millions in ready cash, such as the Blackstone Group,
Colony Capital, Oaktree Capital Management started
buying
thousands of homes in the most depressed markets for cash and as-is.
Their sales pitch promised returns of 6 to 8 percent from rental income
and a longer-term payout of 16 to 18 percent once the properties are
sold in a half-dozen years or so, said
Paul Staley,
who buys, rehabs and sells homes for a Bay Area affordable housing
non-profit. The investor's cash meant banks and other mortgage lenders
didn’t have to worry about inspections, appraisals, government standards
and haggling with buyers. Those market "efficiencies" pushed players
like Community Housing Development Corporation of North Richmond and its
clients out of the equation.
But then Waypoint spent tens of thousands of dollars fixing up its homes. If you look at its
website,
you’ll see houses with new paint inside and out, new kitchens, carpets
and floors, tubs and showers. They weren’t bringing buildings up to new
construction code, but they were
spending
$20,000 or more on each to improve them. That investment had not been
seen in this kind of housing stock in low-income communities in years.
It helps to stabilize falling home values for neighbors (whose mortgages
may be underwater) and it fortifies the local property tax base. For
those efforts, and launching a slick marketing campaign where Waypoint
said it would
award prompt-paying renters with "points" that could be used to
buy the home or to get cash back after leases end, the company has
become a local media darling (although it is now downplaying these programs).
Waypoint
spokeswoman Beth Haiken declined to make any executives available,
saying they’d spent last week “skiing with their kids on spring break”
and now “had to get back to work.” That’s too bad, because it would be
very instructive to hear their take on the national trend they are part
of—including questions about their business model and what they believe
will be its long-term impact on affordable housing. Executives told
USA Today that Waypoint now owns 3,300 homes and “expects to own 10,000” by the year’s end.
As
you might imagine, skeptics abound. On the local level, Richmond’s
Benjamin is worried about what kind of landlords they will be. Early on,
she said they seemed to be making mistakes by renting to anyone and
then evicting people who couldn’t pay. “To me, the biggest concern is
the property management of these scattered sites,” she said. “There is
no track record for this type of property management.”
On a more
macro level, there are substantive questions about this business model
and how it will play out, especially once it gets past the easy stages
of buying and rehabbing properties with other people’s money. Waypoint
seems to be relying on forecasts that suggest it can drive up local
rents, get find enough occupants at price points that require
middle-class
paychecks, and eventually sell the properties to satisfy its billionaire venture capitalists.
“The question is what is scalable in that business model,” asked housing historian
Eric John Abrahamson, author of
Building Home: Howard F. Ahmanson and the Politics of the American Dream.
“Is property management scalable? Is the intelligence that it takes to
buy well scalable? Because one of the things about real estate
historically is that it tends to remain a profoundly local business.”
Affordable Housing Trends
Owning
and renting homes has deep roots in American culture, Abrahamson said,
noting that the country’s founders—and later New Deal reformers—saw
property ownership as a path to social stability and citizenship. As a
result, the government created the kinds of programs that promoted
buying homes. Yet, today, as Washington has allowed the banks and others
that created the 21st century’s first housing bubble and crash to
continue with little oversight, Abrahamson said that access to property
has taken a backseat to market efficiencies. “The question is being
raised in a way that hasn’t been raised for decades,” he said. “Is home
ownership the way to promote community? Does government have a real
stake in promoting ownership. Should the mortgage deduction be
continued?”
The transformation of thousands of single homes
into corporate rentals is a new business model, he said, adding that it
would be telling to see how companies like Waypoint face a host of new
pressures, from getting rental income to meet their goals to finding and
buying more homes to satisfy investor’s expectations to their impact on
the communties they target. “Are they just tapping the speculative
bubble and climbing in the short-run?” he asked. “Or is their business
model sustainable through the real estate cycle?”
“Up to this
point you have to give these guys credit,” said Staley. “They have
demonstrated something that alot of people didn't think was really
possible, which was to scale up a very granular business... As far as I
can tell, they're doing it. But google Och-Ziff. They got out. They
sold their portfolio late last year.”
Compared
to two years ago, there's a lot more competition for low-end homes.
Housing analysts say that up to $10 billion could be spent in 2013 to
buy up to 80,000 distressed homes for conversion to rentals across
America. Those would be added to 12 million single family homes now
rented. The
press clips
on Waypoint’s website seem to be chosen to say that its industry—the
rental real estate barons—is barely impacting local market trends or
inflating local home prices.
But recent statistics suggest otherwise. Walter Molony, National Association of Realtors
spokesperson, said in 2011 that, “the investment market share surged extraordinarily in terms of the volume of transactions.”
“It
was up 64.5 percent, from 1.3 million sales in 2011 from 749,000 in
2010,” he said. “It’s hard to say what the 2012 data is going to come in
at. The overall sales were up 9.5 percent. The investment component
might be flatter, and that’s because properties that are most popular
with investors, foreclosures and other low-end property, have been
shrinking as a market share.”
In 2011, “distressed properties”
were 35 percent of all home sales, Molony said. “Now it is down to 23
percent,” he said, referring to January figures. “We’re projecting that
it will be below 15 percent by the year’s end. So this might be
something of a transition year when investors have to start looking at
higher price ranges.”
These statistics suggest that the supply
of low-end housing is shrinking and that housing costs—buying or
renting—are all but certain to rise; and not just in communities hit by
the foreclosure crisis, but in nearby areas as well. That change in
supply and price will undoubtedly cause investors like Waypoint to
change their plans or stake out new markets. They have new offices in
Southern California, Florida, Georgia and Illinois. But it is also
undermining local affordable housing options for ordinary Americans.
“My
guys tell me that every person—and I am really not exaggerating—every
potential homeowner who comes in our fold that’s been out there looking
and has made offers has been beat by an investor," CHDC’s Maria Benjamin
said. “It might be that they’re [investors] bidding $150,000 or coming
in with $75,000 in cash. But our folks have to go out and get a FHA
mortgage. That requires an inspection, and that health and safety
requirements are met before the transaction can go through.”
Abrahamson, the housing historian, has another take on the latest housing market trends.
“I
think we’re in a new gilded age,” he concluded. “The things that
contributed to social stability in the past, whether they were home
ownership or some form of lifetime employment at one firm or one
career—all those things created stability within community. But all
those things are going away.”
Steven Rosenfeld covers
democracy issues for AlterNet and is the author of "Count My Vote: A
Citizen's Guide to Voting" (AlterNet Books, 2008).
Through this new rule as you mention it above will make Homes for Rent more difficult business than ever.
ReplyDelete